AGP Executive Report

Cross-Border Trade: Togo’s capital Lomé hosted an ECOWAS workshop on free movement and cross-border trade, bringing together transport operators, freight forwarders, women traders and border officials to close the gap between regional rules and what happens at checkpoints. Road Safety & Mobility: Kenya-based experts urged safer roads through pedestrian-first design, community involvement in infrastructure planning (like footbridge placement) and stronger enforcement of traffic rules. Clean Transport Push: Nigeria’s Tinubu commissioned four CNG projects across Lagos, Abuja and Owerri to expand clean mobility and cut transport costs using domestic gas. Freight & Ports: Ghana’s Tema Port management was praised for swift intervention to prevent a planned community protest over truck parking and sanitation issues around Dzata-Bu. Regional Rail Deal: Tanzania and Burundi deepened ties with a $2.15bn Standard Gauge Railway linking Uvinza to Musongati to cut transport costs and boost trade. Security on the Move: South Africa intercepted a K106bn methaqualone shipment at Beitbridge, arresting two Malawians and highlighting ongoing drug-smuggling risks in regional trucking routes. Aviation Demand Watch: IATA reported global air passenger demand fell 3.4% in April as West Asia tensions hit Middle East carriers, with Africa showing steadier growth. Ebola Logistics & Policy: A Kenyan court temporarily blocked a US plan to open an Ebola quarantine facility in Kenya, delaying a 50-bed camp meant for Americans exposed to the virus. Corridor Growth: Namibia-Angola trade via the Trans-Cunene Corridor gained traction, with Walvis Bay corridor cargo movement topping 2.4m tonnes in 2024/25 and Namport container throughput rising 33% YoY.

Ebola & Border Health: A Kenyan court temporarily blocked a US plan to open an Ebola quarantine centre for Americans at Laikipia Air Base, after a rights group petition; the facility was meant to quarantine arrivals from DRC as WHO reports rising cases and deaths. Aviation & Cargo: Kenya Airways says it’s doubling down on operational reforms, digital transformation and cargo growth to protect profitability, while IATA reports April air cargo demand up 4% despite Middle East disruption. Regional Connectivity: East African Community regulators are drafting new roaming rules to cut cross-border mobile costs and boost trade and the Single Digital Market. Road & Logistics Security: South Africa’s Border Management Authority intercepted nearly R1bn of methaqualone (ABBA) hidden in a truck at Beitbridge after intelligence-led targeting and scanner checks; suspects were arrested. Public Transport Funding: South Africa’s National Treasury defended changes to the Public Transport Network Grant after Cape Town warned reforms could threaten MyCiTi expansion. Fuel & Inflation Pressure: Japan’s crude imports plunged as Strait of Hormuz disruptions bite, while South Africa faces renewed petrol price pressure despite improved fuel recoveries. Green Freight: Kenya’s Browns Tea Plantations launched 30 heavy-duty electric trucks to move green leaf tea, adding charging infrastructure across estates.

Aviation & Trade Connectivity: Air Peace launched scheduled flights linking West Africa and the Caribbean, aiming to unlock new tourism and farm-produce exports. Ports & Shipping: Egypt reported record 2025 port performance, with ship traffic up to ~17,300 voyages and container throughput rising to 11.1m TEUs, reinforcing its role as a transshipment hub. Airport Modernisation: Nigeria’s FAAN says it will transform airports into “gateways of growth,” prioritising passenger experience and revenue optimisation. Road Safety Crackdown: Nigeria’s FRSC deployed 1,500+ personnel for Sokoto Eid-el-Kabir patrols, while Zimbabwe’s president ordered tougher action against reckless driving and unroadworthy vehicles after fatal crashes. Health & Mobility Risk: Nigeria placed Lagos, FCT and several states on high Ebola alert due to Bundibugyo strain risk, and the U.S. plans a Kenya quarantine facility for Americans exposed to Ebola. Aviation Finance: Afreximbank posted a 25% Q1 profit rise and launched a $10bn facility to cushion African economies amid the Gulf crisis. Digital Sovereignty: Ghana’s finance minister warned Africa risks “digital colonisation,” urging investment in local digital infrastructure and control of data rails.

Port & Energy Infrastructure: South Africa’s TNPA signed a 25-year LNG terminal operator deal with Ukwanda LNG for a regasification facility at Port of Ngqura, targeting full operations by 2035 and aiming to support power generation in the Coega SEZ. Air Cargo Watch: IATA says global air cargo demand rose 4% in April, but Middle East conflict disruptions at Gulf hubs are reshaping routes and squeezing capacity. Maritime Trade Routes: Maersk launched FI2, a weekly ocean service linking Far East Asia to India, calling at Pipavav to plug into India’s Dedicated Freight Corridor rail for faster inland delivery. Logistics & Regional Corridors: Analysis warns the Lobito Corridor could further weaken South Africa’s logistics value as cheaper, faster routes divert copperbelt exports away from SA ports. Road Freight Reality Check: A Southern Africa bulk-supply piece highlights why road logistics still matters most for flexible, cross-border movement of mining and agricultural volumes. Cold Chain & Food Losses (Kenya): Kenya loses about KES72bn annually to food waste, with cold-chain gaps driving high losses; export performance for avocados improves where packhouses and reefer transport are stronger. Transport Energy Shift (Tanzania): Tanzania plans 10 more CNG stations and is also finalising mobile CNG units to expand cleaner transport fuel access. Ebola & Mobility Controls: DR Congo’s Ebola response ramps up with new supplies as Uganda closes its border with the DRC and restricts movement to essential cargo and response teams.

Ebola & Border Logistics: Uganda shut its border with DR Congo as Bundibugyo Ebola cases rise, while Houston’s Bush Airport joined other US sites for enhanced screening ahead of World Cup travel; the US also plans to quarantine Americans exposed to Ebola in Kenya, triggering local anger over fears of “dumping” patients. Maritime Law & Shipping Risk: A UN tribunal awarded $14m compensation over the 2022 seizure of the VLCC Heroic Idun off Africa, underscoring how naval detentions and navigation disputes can disrupt crude flows. Aviation & Aircraft Leasing: Nigeria says it will launch an aircraft leasing firm backed by a sovereign guarantee to help lessors repossess aircraft and reduce cross-agency friction. Trade & Ports: China grants full quarantine access for coffee beans from 53 African countries starting July 20, while new Africa-bound shipping routes are boosting port throughput. Road Safety & Freight: Nigeria’s Dangote Trucks reports a 56% crash reduction after FRSC safety reforms, as logistics recovery remains a key theme. Mobility Transition: Electric motorcycle adoption accelerates across Africa, with operators preparing for the next phase as total cost of ownership improves.

Ebola & Borders: Uganda moved to close its border with Congo as a rare Ebola type surge worsened, while WHO warned the outbreak is spreading faster than response capacity can handle. Evacuation Logistics: Ghana’s first batch of evacuees from South Africa is expected to arrive in Accra today after delays caused by a surge in returnees linked to renewed xenophobic hostility. Public Health Policy: Reports say the US restricted key disease experts from directly communicating with WHO during active outbreaks, raising concerns about coordination speed. Urban Transport Pressure: South Africa’s taxi sector is facing oversupply, with Transport Minister Barbara Creecy citing about 80,000 more taxis than needed and calling for urgent route balancing. Road Safety & Compliance: Fines SA warns unpaid traffic fines can escalate into licence blocks and warrants, creating operational risk for vehicle-reliant businesses. Energy & Mobility: Golden Arrow Bus Services in Cape Town says its electric bus rollout is racking up 115,000–120,000 km weekly, with plans to expand renewable wheeling. Aviation Safety: Namibia’s Walvis Bay airport acquired a N$16m firefighting vehicle to strengthen emergency response and boost regional competitiveness. Mining Regulation: Minerals Council South Africa urged a one-stop shop for mineral rights applications to cut delays as the mining law framework is revised.

Aviation & Ebola Controls: The CDC is adding more airport screening options as Ebola spreads faster in the DRC and into Uganda, with new procedures at Atlanta and Houston joining earlier U.S. measures—while the IRC warns the outbreak could become the deadliest on record without urgent support. Nigeria Rail Relief: Nigeria’s Railway Corporation is offering a 50% cut on passenger train fares for Eid-el-Kabir (May 26–June 1), with schedules unchanged. Aviation Reform Push: Nigeria’s aviation minister urges Africa to move from policy talk to legal and commercial fixes that cut financing risk and boost aircraft leasing. Energy & Mobility: Ethiopia inaugurates Africa’s largest dam, raising hopes for power exports, while Togo keeps fuel prices stable despite the oil shock—raising the question of how long subsidies can last. Road Tech: South Africa’s Western Cape is rolling out Bentley’s Blyncsy AI to monitor 5,000km of roads and spot safety and climate risks. Politics Disruption Risk: Nigeria’s ADC presidential primary results keep triggering rejections and calls for redress, adding uncertainty to near-term transport and logistics planning.

Trade & Industry: China’s zero-tariff policy for African exports (effective May 1) is giving South Africa’s wine sector a fresh push, with producers using the Wine Tourism Conference in Stellenbosch to chase deeper access to China’s growing premium market. Maritime & Sanctions: Reports say Russia is increasingly using African “flags of convenience” to keep parts of its shadow shipping network running, exploiting weaker registries to dodge sanctions. Ebola & Borders: Health officials report two travellers from DRC placed in isolation in The Bahamas after fevers, while across Africa authorities warn outbreaks are outpacing response capacity. Power Supply: Kenya is in early talks with Turkish floating power provider Karpowership to plug a widening electricity gap. Urban Enforcement: Durban police arrested 20+ undocumented foreign nationals and shut five non-compliant retail outlets in a CBD crackdown. Finance Pressure: South Africans brace for a June squeeze as fuel relief ends and rate hikes loom. Governance Watch: Ghana’s Auditor-General recommends recovery of GH¢579m over irregularities tied to the 2023 African Games.

Ebola Screening Tightens in the Air: Atlanta airport has started mandatory Ebola checks for U.S.-bound travelers arriving from DRC, Uganda and South Sudan, with temperature checks, health forms, and follow-up monitoring for cleared passengers. Ebola Response Strains in Congo: In eastern DR Congo, contact follow-ups are lagging badly—only about 21% of identified contacts were checked in a day—while the outbreak keeps spreading across provinces. Travel Disruption Spreads Beyond Africa: Antigua has blocked an incoming Air Peace flight from Lagos as a precaution, rerouting passengers via Barbados, while other countries keep adding risk-based entry screening. Maritime Readiness: Obangame Express continues to test West and Central Africa’s anti-piracy and trafficking coordination. South Africa Logistics & Trade: South Africa’s agricultural exports rose 11% in Q1 2026, though Port of Cape Town delays pushed some table-grape volumes to Eastern Cape routes. Sports Travel Watch: CAF Champions League winners Mamelodi Sundowns returned to South Africa with a late arrival and a warm airport welcome.

Electric Mobility Push: Ethiopia has launched a national E-Mobility Strategy and Implementation Plan (2025–2030), aiming to cut fossil-fuel dependence, improve urban health, and build charging and policy reforms. Port & Logistics Investment: DP World says it’s investing billions in Africa’s ports and logistics, including work aimed at lowering trade costs in Kigali. Urban Security & Infrastructure Protection: Cape Town’s Metal Theft Unit has closed dozens of scrap dealers and bucket shops and recovered 800kg of stolen metal, using tech like CCTV, drones and thermal imaging to protect critical infrastructure. Road Safety & Social Strain: South Africa’s parliament hears that ageing, under-supported systems are slowing Sassa grant rollouts, while transport costs and fuel hikes keep squeezing households. Crime Watch: Western Cape murder figures remain grim—983 murders in the first three months of 2026. Digital Payments Policy Fight: Kenya’s private sector is pushing back hard against a proposed 16% VAT on digital financial services, warning it could push users back to cash.

Evacuation Fallout: Ghana’s opposition minority caucus says government mishandled the postponed evacuation of Ghanaians from South Africa after xenophobic attacks, warning commitments were made before “legal and logistical” issues were fixed. Aviation Disruption: Hong Kong airport is preparing for a summer volume shift as airlines swap aircraft and cut flights to manage a global fuel crunch. Ebola Watch: Nigeria has stepped up surveillance and emergency readiness as Uganda and DR Congo outbreaks worsen, flagging border communities and major transport hubs as high-risk. Public Health Gap: WHO declared the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak a public health emergency, spotlighting the lack of a licensed vaccine for this Ebola species and the strain on lab capacity. Maritime/Trade Pressure: Shipping rates show mixed signals, with tanker and freight indexes softening in parts of the market as geopolitical shocks keep routes and costs volatile.

Ebola Surge & Border Controls: Ebola is spreading faster than Congo’s teams can track—only about 21% of identified contacts were diagnosed in a day as the outbreak hits three provinces; Uganda confirmed three new cases and suspended Congo passenger transport, while Rwanda tightened entry screening and quarantine. Aviation Disruption: Morocco’s Royal Air Maroc is suspending 12 routes, blaming soaring kerosene costs and softer demand. Road Freight Shock: South Africa’s Greendoor Group plans to retrench about 75 Zimbabwean truck drivers as it cuts fleet capacity amid falling volumes and higher operating costs. Livestock Protection: South Africa received a record 3.5 million foot-and-mouth vaccine doses, with more arriving to support “FMD free with vaccination.” Crime & Enforcement: Tax Justice SA is pushing tougher jail terms after a 13-year sentence for illicit cigarette trafficking in Limpopo. Safety & Security: A retired couple was found murdered in Kruger’s Pafuri area; police opened murder and hijacking probes as the vehicle remains missing.

Ebola Escalation: DR Congo’s Ebola death toll jumped to 204 as Uganda confirmed three new cases, while the Africa CDC warned 10 countries are now at risk—fueling fresh pressure on cross-border transport and health screening. Anti-Corruption & Politics (Nigeria): The ICPC says it denied ADC leaders access to former Kaduna governor Nasir El-Rufai strictly due to a subsisting court order limiting visits to family, legal counsel and doctors. Migration Clampdown (Tunisia): Tunisia repatriated 4,000+ irregular migrants since July 2025 via voluntary flights and assembly camps, signaling tighter regional movement controls. Maritime Trade (Libya–China): Misrata Free Zone welcomed a COSCO container ship to start a direct Libya–China route, aiming to cut delivery times and reduce reliance on intermediary ports. Business Confidence (Nigeria): SBM Intelligence flags insecurity as the top operational threat in Nigeria, warning it’s eroding investor confidence faster than traditional macro worries. Aviation Disruption (Morocco): Royal Air Maroc temporarily suspended 12 routes as Middle East tensions pushed fuel costs up and demand softened.

Ebola Response Tightens: Uganda confirmed three new Ebola cases—two linked to local transmission—bringing totals to five, as health officials urge calm and step up surveillance, contact tracing, and monitoring. Border & Aviation Controls: The WHO raised the DRC outbreak risk to “very high,” and the U.S. expanded Ebola screening airports, adding Atlanta (ATL) alongside Washington Dulles (IAD) and Houston (IAH), while Uganda suspended transport to the DRC. Transport Disruption Watch: In the Bahamas, two passengers isolated at Lynden Pindling International Airport after travel from the DRC showed fever symptoms, with officials stressing no confirmed Ebola. Safety on the Roads: Zimbabwe reported a deadly kombi crash into the Hwange River, highlighting how transport risk remains a daily reality. Business & Logistics: Moody’s upgraded South Africa’s outlook to positive on fiscal reforms—good news for investor confidence in a region where connectivity and stability are tightly linked.

Ebola Response in Motion: WHO upgraded Ebola in DR Congo to “very high” risk as confirmed cases rise to 82 with 7 deaths, while suspected cases climb toward 750—prompting tighter funeral rules and more field support. Air Cargo & Ground Handling: Swissport signed a binding deal to acquire Swiftair Maroc, entering Morocco’s cargo market and boosting cold-chain capacity at Mohammed V Airport. Logistics Infrastructure: AD Ports launched a rail-linked inland logistics network in the UAE, linking Khalifa Port and Fujairah Terminals to dry ports and industrial depots. Energy & Shipping Pressure: The Hormuz crisis is pushing oil toward a “red zone,” with EU sanctions expanded over maritime disruption risks. Finance for Disruptions: A World Bank internal document says 27 countries have moved to access crisis funding instruments since the Iran war began. Road & Mobility Disruption: Togo’s AfCFTA push spotlights Cinkassé’s one-stop border post, where vehicle traffic surged 20% in 2025.

Ebola Alarm: WHO Africa chief Mohamed Yakub Janabi warns underestimating the Central Africa Ebola outbreak “would be a big mistake,” stressing the Bundibugyo strain has no vaccine and even a single case could spread beyond DRC and Uganda. Border & Mobility Pressure: South Africa’s Home Affairs verified 457 foreign nationals in Durban and detained two without proper documentation as immigration enforcement tightens. EV Supply Chain Push: South Africa proposes draft changes to its auto incentives to boost EV battery manufacturing, including higher production credits and customs rebates for battery makers processing critical minerals locally or regionally. Fuel Shock Spillover: Kenya’s fuel-price relief plan is in motion after Ruto directed diesel cuts, but the wider transport squeeze is already threatening the Northern Corridor and neighboring economies. Security & Routes: Two South African minibus drivers face trafficking charges after Limpopo intercepted 48 undocumented Zimbabwean migrants on the N1 bypass. Tech & Connectivity: Cameroon’s CAMTEL gets international fiber-optic recognition after training 130 technicians, aiming to speed up FTTH rollout.